Are you saving for retirement? Your children's education? Another long-term goal? If so, you'll want to factor inflation into your planning. Inflation is the increase in the price of products over time and its rates have fluctuated over the years. Sometimes inflation runs high, and other times it is hardly noticeable. The short-term changes aren't the real issue. The real issue is the effects of long-term inflation.
Over the long term, inflation erodes the purchasing power of your income and wealth. That means that even as you save and invest, your accumulated wealth buys less and less, simply with the passage of time. And those who put off saving and investing can be impacted even more.
The effects of inflation can't be denied—yet there are ways to help offset them. You should own at least some investments whose potential return exceeds the inflation rate. A portfolio that earns 2% when inflation is 3% actually loses purchasing power each year.
Though past performance is no guarantee of future results, stocks historically have provided higher long-term total returns than cash alternatives or bonds. However, that potential for greater returns comes with the greater risks of volatility and potential for loss. The stock market can swing from positive to negative territory. Because of that volatility, stock investments may not be appropriate for money you count on to be available in the short term. You can lose part or all of the money you invest in a stock. You'll need to think about whether you have the financial and emotional ability to deal with the volatility and potential loss of capital.
Bonds can also help, but since 1926, their inflation-adjusted return has been less than that of stocks. First auctioned in 1997, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest, can help. They are indexed so that your return should keep pace with inflation. The principal is automatically adjusted every six months to reflect increases or decreases in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). As long as you hold a TIPS to maturity, you will receive the greater of the original or inflation-adjusted principal. Unless you own TIPS in a tax-deferred account, you must pay federal income tax on the income plus any increase in principal, even though you won't receive any accrued principal until the bond matures. When interest rates rise, the value of existing bonds will typically fall on the secondary market. Changing rates and secondary-market values should not affect the principal of bonds held to maturity.
Diversifying your portfolio—spreading your assets across a variety of investments that may respond differently to market conditions—is one way to help manage inflation risk. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss, however. Examples of investments include:
All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal, and there is no guarantee that any investment will be worth what you paid for it when you sell.
Working with a financial advisor can help simplify the complex and provide you peace of mind when it comes to your plans for the future. To learn more about Busey Wealth Management’s experienced team and holistic services, visit busey.com/wealth-management.
This is not intended to provide legal, tax or accounting advice. Any statement contained in this communication concerning U.S. tax matters is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, for the purpose of avoiding penalties imposed on the relevant taxpayer. Clients should obtain their own independent tax advice based on their particular circumstances.
This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities.
This presentation is for general information purposes only. It does not take into account the particular investment objectives, restrictions, tax and financial situation or other needs of any specific client.
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